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National Security and Climate Change in Perspective 1 Kurt M. Campbell and Christine Parthemore Can History Help with Global Warming? 26 I. R. McNeill J Three Plausible Scenarios of Future Climate Change 49 Jay Gulledge A Security Implications of Climate Scenario 1: Expected Climate Change over the Next Thirty Years 97 John Podesta and Peter Ogden ) Security Implications of Climate Scenario 2: Severe Climate Change over the Next Thirty Years 133 Leon Fuerth J Security Implications of Climate Scenario 3: Catastrophic Climate Change over the Next One Hundred Years 155 Sharon Burke A Partnership Deal: Malevolent and Malignant Threats 169 R. Jaimes Woiolsey Setting the Negotiating 'Table: The Race to Replace Kyoto by 2012 191 lulianne Smith and Alexander T I. Lennon J Conclusion: The Clear Implications of Global Climate Change 213 Kurt M. Campbell and Richard Weitz