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PART I Setting the Stage: Human Beings and the Societies We Live In ONE I Do Our Genes Condemn Us to War? 19 Two Some Usefil Lessons fromn History 39 THREE I A Realistic Assessment of the World We Live In 54 PART II The Limits of Choice: How Technology and Culture Will Affect Our Future FOUR I Two Technologies That Will Shape the TWorld 81 FIVE I low Culture and Ecology Will Limit Our Actions 110 six I Why Most Strategic Plans Fail 125 PART III The Tools of Change: What We Can Do to Prevent Mass Violence SLVEN I Policics and Diplomacy as Tools for Peace 139 EIGHT I Economic Measures to Reduce the Probability 167 of Mass Violence NINE I Military Capability to Make and Keep the Peace 188 TEN I The Necessity of Hope 206