Table of contents for Calculated risks : how to know when numbers deceive you / Gerd Gigerenzer.


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        ACKNOWLEDGMENTS                                   Vii

PART I  DARE TO KNOW
         1 Uncertainty                                         3
         2 The Illusion of Certainty                           9
         3 Innumeracy                                     23
         4 Insight                                        39


PART II UNDERSTANDING UNCERTAINTIES IN THE REAL WORLD

        5 Breast Cancer Screening                        55
        6 (Un)Informed Consent                           87
        7 AIDS Counseling                               115
        8 Wife Battering                                141
        9 Experts on Trial                              151
        10 DNA Fingerprinting                            161
        11 Violent People                                185


PART III FROM INNUMERACY TO INSIGHT

        12 How Innumeracy Can Be Exploited               201
        13 Fun Problems                                  211
        14 Teaching Clear Thinking                       229


        GLOSSARY                                         247
        NOTES                                            259
        REFERENCES                                       281
        INDEX                                            297





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