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CONTENTS WHAT TO EXPECT 1 HOW (NOT) TO LOOK AHEAD 2 FATAL DISCONTINUITIES NATURAL CATASTROPHES Encounter with extraterrestrial objects Volcanic megaeruptions and collapses Influenza pandemics VIOLENT CONFLICTS Transformational wars Terrorist attacks IMAGINABLE SURPRISES 3 UNFOLDING TRENDS ENERGY TRANSITIONS Dominant fuels, enduring prime movers Solar (Nuclear?) civilization NEW WORLD ORDER Europe¿s place Japan¿s decline Muslim choice Russia¿s Way China¿s rise America¿s retreat PLACE ON TOP Dominance and decline Globalization and inequality 4 ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE GLOBAL WARMING AND ITS CONSEQUENCES Rising temperatures Ocean¿s rise, dynamics and composition Ecosystems and economies OTHER GLOBAL CHANGES Changing water and nitrogen cycles Loss of biodiversity and invasive species Antimicrobial resistance BIOSPHERE¿S INTEGRITY 5 DEALING WITH RISK AND UNCERTAINTY RELATIVE FEARS Quantifying the odds Rational attitudes ACTING AS RISK MINIMIZERS THE NEXT 50 YEARS
Library of Congress Subject Headings for this publication:
Environmental risk assessment.