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LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. List of Abbreviations/Glossary 1. INTRODUCTION 10 2. OPPOSING VIEWPOINTS 22 THE GEOLOGISTS 23 THE ECONOMISTS 27 THE MILITARISTS 30 THE ENVIRONMENTALISTS 32 THE NEO-LUDDITES 34 3. BUST AND BOOM: HOW WE GOT TO WHERE WE ARE TODAY 35 THE DOLDRUMS 1986-1998 36 THE HURRICANE 1999-2007 40 Demand Bites Back The Dog That Didn't Bark 4. HALF FULL OR HALF EMPTY? CONVENTIONAL OIL SUPPLY 51 PEAK OIL 52 'Hubbert's Curve' 54 THE RESERVES CONUNDRUM 71 EXPLORATION POTENTIAL 80 Surveys of Global Exploration Potential 93 RESERVES GROWTH 102 Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) 110 THE FALLACY OF 'EASY OIL' 117 SOURCES OF NEW SUPPLY 122 SUMMARY 128 5. DEAD DINOSAURS? THE MAJOR OIL NATIONS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. SAUDI ARABIA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Saudi Reserves Technology and Technical Problems Exploration Potential Decline in Saudi Production? Can Saudi Arabia Be Replaced? IRAN ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. IRAQ ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. KUWAIT ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. QATAR ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. OTHER MIDDLE EAST ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. LIBYA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. ALGERIA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. SUDAN ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. NIGERIA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. ANGOLA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. RUSSIA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. KAZAKHSTAN ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. AZERBAIJAN ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. VENEZUELA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. MEXICO ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. BRAZIL ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. USA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. CANADA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. NORWAY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. UK ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. CHINA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. INDIA ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. NEW FRONTIERS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. West and Southern Africa East Africa Interior Africa South and South-East Asia and Australasia Central and South America Arctic Antarctic 6. SCRAPING THE BARREL? UNCONVENTIONAL OIL SUPPLY. ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. TIGHT OIL ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. HEAVY AND EXTRA-HEAVY OIL ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. OIL SANDS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. OIL SHALE ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. GAS TO LIQUIDS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. COAL AND BIOMASS TO LIQUIDS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. BIOFUELS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. KINETICS - THE SPEED OF COMMERCIALISATION ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 7. GAS GIANTS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. THE PEAK GAS THEORY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. GLOBAL GAS RESOURCES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. UNCONVENTIONAL GAS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. THE ROLE OF GAS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 8. A DANGEROUS NEIGHBOURHOOD? SUPPLY, INVESTMENT AND GEOPOLITICS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. BARRIERS TO INVESTMENT ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Resource Nationalism and the 'Oil Curse' ENERGY SECURITY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Energy Security as Interdependence 9. KEEPING THE LIGHTS ON: ENERGY DEMAND ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. WORTHY SUBSTITUTES: OTHER ENERGY SOURCES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Resource Constraints on Alternative Fuels Energy Intensity of the Energy System Other Consequences of Alternative Energies PERSONAL VIRTUE? - EFFICIENCY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. OILING THE WHEELS: TRANSPORT FUEL DEMAND ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. SYNTHESIS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 10. GREEN OIL: SAVING THE ENVIRONMENT ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. LOCAL IMPACTS ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Carbon Sequestration Carbon intensity of unconventional oil YEAR ZERO: THE NEO-LUDDITES ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 11. CONCLUSION 132 BIBLIOGRAPHY ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. Data Sources
Library of Congress Subject Headings for this publication:
Petroleum reserves.
Petroleum industry and trade.
Energy policy.