Table of contents for Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor.

Bibliographic record and links to related information available from the Library of Congress catalog.

Note: Contents data are machine generated based on pre-publication provided by the publisher. Contents may have variations from the printed book or be incomplete or contain other coding.


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Contents
1. The Challenges of Uncertainty: An Introduction
Francis Fukuyama
2. Thinking about Catastrophe
Richard A. Posner
Part I. Cases: Looking Back
3. Slow Surprise: The Dynamics of Technology Synergy
David Landes
4. U.S. Intelligence Estimates of Soviet Collapse: Reality and Perception
Bruce Berkowitz
5. Econoshocks: The East Asian Crisis Case
David Hale
Part II. Cases: Looking Ahead
6. The Once and Future DARPA
William Bonvillian
7. Fueled Again? In Search of Energy Security
Gal Luft and Anne Korin
8. Emerging Infectious Diseases: Are We Prepared?
Scott Barrett
Part III. Forecasting
9. Ahead of the Curve: Anticipating Strategic Surprise
Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall
10. Can Scenarios Help Policymakers Be Both Bold and Careful?
Robert Lempert
11. Innovation and Adaptation: IT Examples
Mitchell Waldrop
Part IV. What Could Be
12. Cassandra vs. Pollyanna
A Debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook
13. Global Discontinuities
A Discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett
14. American Scenarios
A Discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, 
Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama
Afterword
Francis Fukuyama
Contributors
Index

Library of Congress Subject Headings for this publication:

Emergency management -- United States.
International relations.