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Contents INTRODUCTION 4 PART I: INTERNATIONAL DIMENSIONS 7 THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM AFTER THE WAR IN IRAQ/MARK A. HELLER 8 America After the Cold War: Last Man Standing? 8 Constraints on American Power and the Need for Partners 9 Building a Coalition on the Middle East 12 Uni-Multipolarity in the International System 16 THE FOREIGN AND DEFENSE POLICY OF THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION/ABRAHAM BEN-ZVI 19 An Overview of Twentieth Century US Foreign Policy 19 The Impact of September 11 on Foreign Policy 21 In the Aftermath of the War 26 DETERRENCE, PREVENTION, AND OTHER STRATEGIES/YAIR EVRON 31 An Analytical Framework 32 Rationales for the Iraq War 34 The War: Prevention, Deterrence, and Compellence 35 Iraqi Deterrence 38 Israeli Deterrence Before and After the War 40 THE US APPROACH TO ARMS CONTROL/EMILY B. LANDAU 45 The Bush Administration Approach 45 Arms Control Before and After the War 51 Implications for the Middle East 54 THE WAR IN IRAQ AND INTERNATIONAL TERRORISM/YORAM SCHWEITZER 57 The War and the Struggle against International Terrorism 57 Iraqi Involvement with International Terrorism 59 Terrorism's Lesser Role in the War 61 The Post-War Campaign against Terrorism 63 THE REVOLUTION IN MILITARY AFFAIRS AND THE OPERATION IN IRAQ/ISAAC BEN-ISRAEL 69 Background and Principal Moves 69 The Military Conceptual Approach and Doctrine 76 Implications for Israel 86 THE VICTORY IN IRAQ AND THE GLOBAL OIL ECONOMY/SHMUEL EVEN 92 Goal of the Offensive vis-à-vis the Oil Market 92 The Oil Market during the Crisis 95 The Iraqi Oil Economy: Current and Potential 96 The American Victory and the Balance of Power in the Oil Market 99 Implications for the Oil Market 101 MILITARY-MEDIA RELATIONS: EMBEDDING AS A CASE STUDY/HIRSH GOODMAND AND JONATHAN CUMMINGS 103 Embedding Media: The Rationale 104 Background to Embedding 106 Implementing the Policy 108 Results of the Media Strategy 112 PART II: REGIONAL AND ISRAELI DIMENSIONS 120 THE WAR IN IRAQ: REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS/EPHRAIM KAM 121 Constructing a New Regime and the Future of Iraq 122 The War's Impact on the Region 127 The War's Impact on Neighboring States 131 The Ramifications for Israel 136 ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN PEACEMAKING AFTER THE WAR/SHAI FELDMAN 138 Pre-War Developments 138 The Impact of the War 142 Constraints on the Road to Peace 144 Current Prospects for Peace 147 THE CASE OF IRAQ'S WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION/EPHRAIM ASCULAI 149 The Iraqi Development Program 149 Iraqi Preparations for Renewed Inspections and the 2003 War 153 The US Search for WMD in Iraq 156 Residual Capabilities and Lessons for the Future 157 THE POST-WAR STRATEGIC BALANCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST/SHLOMO BROM 160 Implications for the Actual Balance of Power 160 Implications for the Perceived Balance of Power 162 Likely Arab Inferences 165 The Strategic Implications After the War 168 THE ISRAELI PUBLIC AND THE WAR/ANAT KURZ AND TAMAR MALZ 171 National Consensus and Routine 171 The War in Iraq as a Test of Endurance 175 ISRAEL'S HOME FRONT DEFENSE POLICY/DAVID KLEIN 180 Layers of the Home Front Defense Policy 181 Assessing the Threat to the Population 183 Protective Measures 186 Assessment 190 THE NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 193 CHRONOLOGY OF THE INTERNATIONAL INSPECTION REGIME IN IRAQ 1991-2003 194 CONTRIBUTORS 200 Index
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