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List of Contents 1. Introduction...........................................................................................1 Wolfgang Lutz and Warren Sanderson 2. The End of World Population Growth...........................................................13 Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov 3. Applications of Probabilistic Population Forecasting..........................................67 Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov 4. Future Human Capital: Population Projections by Level of Education....................109 Anne Goujon and Wolfgang Lutz 5. Literate Life Expectancy: Charting the Progress in Human Development................135 Wolfgang Lutz and Anne Goujon 6. Population-Environment-Development-Agriculture Interactions in Africa: A Case Study on Ethiopia........................................................................163 Wolfgang Lutz, Sergei Scherbov, Paulina K. Makinwa-Adebusoye and Georges Reniers 7. Interactions between Education and HIV: Demographic Examples from Botswana.....199 Warren Sanderson 8. China's Future Urban and Rural Population by Level of Education........................231 Gui-ying Cao and Wolfgang Lutz 9. Population, Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Climate Change..............................249 Brian O'Neill, Landis MacKellar and Wolfgang Lutz 10. Policies for Population in Sustainable Development: From "Population Stabilization" to "Population Balance".........................................................281 Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson and Brian O'Neill
Library of Congress Subject Headings for this publication: Population forecasting, Twenty-first century Forecasts, Demographic transition