Publisher description for Heuristics and biases : the psychology of intuitive judgement / edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale W. Griffin, Daniel Kahneman.


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Counter Judgment pervades human experience. Do I have a strong enough case to go to trial? Will the Fed change interest rates? Can I trust this person? This book examines how, and how well, people answer such questions. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach. Their approach highlighted the reflexive mental operations that are used to make complex problems manageable, and it generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential elements of psychological research in the heuristics and biases tradition. The various contributions critically analyze the initial work on heuristics and biases, supplement these initial statements with emerging theory and empirical findings in psychology, and point to the most promising areas of future research on judgment.

Library of Congress subject headings for this publication: Judgment, Reasoning (Psychology) Critical thinking